The Tucson house you didn’t buy in 2009
A $300,000 house at 2009’s average index level, tracked to 2026 Q1.
The metro index went from 187.3 (average, 2009) to 380.2 (2026 Q1) — 2.0×. That makes a $300,000 purchase about $609,026 today.
With 20% down ($60,000) at 2009’s average 5.04% thirty-year rate, today’s equity is about $459,150 — 7.7× on the cash.
The same $60,000 down payment in the S&P 500 instead (dividends reinvested): $450,165.
Run your own numbers for 2009 →
Figures are index-derived estimates for the metro market — not an appraisal of any specific house. FHFA data; this site is neither endorsed nor certified by FHFA. Not financial advice.
FAQ
What is a 2009 Tucson house worth today?
By the FHFA all-transactions index for Tucson, AZ, a house bought at 2009's average index level carries a 2.0× market multiple to 2026 Q1 — $300,000 then is about $609,026 now. Individual homes vary.
Why use an index instead of listings?
The FHFA index is built from repeat transactions on the same homes, which controls for the mix of what happens to be for sale. It describes the market trajectory, not any single property.
Is this investment advice?
No — historical arithmetic for education and entertainment. Past prices never guarantee future prices.